Rather than clutter up that other thread "new 2020 Python" about what OLD Pythons may do, I thought I'd start a new thread. These are my thoughts about the legacy "old" Pythons.
1. Pythons have been in a "bubble", or rapidly increasing prices the from about 2007 to 2018. I always said, on these pages, that they were over priced by speculators or "investors" and it was risky to buy high expecting it to go higher. Whereas in the 50s a man would buy one, today people were buying multiples.
2. They made a lot of Pythons for decades, so supply was high, but demand was higher.
3. For some reason the later generation ones, mostly in shiny stainless steel that was an afterthought for Colt, became very expensive because they were less common than the 20 years of Royal Blue ones.
Now comes the new Colt Python of 2020. They will attract some of the buyers that were considering an old one, because they are cheaper. Especially for a stainless steel one (item #3 above). There will be fewer buyers of old ones (item #2 above), so prices will go down. If someone could find an older Python in the same price range as the new, the old ones will still sell. Very mint in box old ones will stop going up, but may stick. Shooter quality ones will go down to about the price of the new Pythons.
By "go down" I mean slightly for shooters, more for 1980s-1990s ones, especially Stainless. This is only because they were overpriced the past 10 years. There are many comparisons to think about. Did the WWII 1911A1s go down when Colt and others started replicating them? Did original Winchester 1873, 1886, 1895 rifles go down with replicas and remakes started about 30 years ago? Did S&W model 27 and 19 go down when they reintroduced the "classic" line of them. Answer in all cases is "no."
This is my prediction, for posterity.
1. Pythons have been in a "bubble", or rapidly increasing prices the from about 2007 to 2018. I always said, on these pages, that they were over priced by speculators or "investors" and it was risky to buy high expecting it to go higher. Whereas in the 50s a man would buy one, today people were buying multiples.
2. They made a lot of Pythons for decades, so supply was high, but demand was higher.
3. For some reason the later generation ones, mostly in shiny stainless steel that was an afterthought for Colt, became very expensive because they were less common than the 20 years of Royal Blue ones.
Now comes the new Colt Python of 2020. They will attract some of the buyers that were considering an old one, because they are cheaper. Especially for a stainless steel one (item #3 above). There will be fewer buyers of old ones (item #2 above), so prices will go down. If someone could find an older Python in the same price range as the new, the old ones will still sell. Very mint in box old ones will stop going up, but may stick. Shooter quality ones will go down to about the price of the new Pythons.
By "go down" I mean slightly for shooters, more for 1980s-1990s ones, especially Stainless. This is only because they were overpriced the past 10 years. There are many comparisons to think about. Did the WWII 1911A1s go down when Colt and others started replicating them? Did original Winchester 1873, 1886, 1895 rifles go down with replicas and remakes started about 30 years ago? Did S&W model 27 and 19 go down when they reintroduced the "classic" line of them. Answer in all cases is "no."
This is my prediction, for posterity.